Master Duel Data: Average Gem Costs

Overview

Have you been wondering how many Gems your favourite deck costs? Well before you go out and buy it, reddit user /u/Ffsauta has simulated pulls to determine the average Gem cost of several different Master Duel meta decks, check it out!

Introduction

Now before we get started a word from the original author

Ffsauta

I created a Master Duel gacha simulator that respects rarity, secret pack ratios, bundles, gifts and crafting.

Creating this took so much longer (like 100 hours) than I anticipated, and I'd be happy if at least one person goes "huh, interesting."

I took the decklists from this Road of the King article, which showcases some more or less "free-2-play" decklists of players that reached max rank in the first few days after release.

The article includes a large variety of decklists on a single page, making it easier for me to decide which decks to showcase the simulator with.

It would be better to take some of the fully optimized decklists from MDM or something, but I just wanted to finish this project without changing the goal in the process.

With these decklists maybe some new players coming from Mobile, which released today, get an idea how much their favorite deck may potentially cost.

In a week or two, after the meta settles and we have an abundance of optimized decklists, a new simulation may be appropriate.

Each image contains two decklists because of upload limits. The graphs show the probability that you complete the given decklist with the corresponding number of gems. The images are uploaded in order of increasing cost of the deck's core cards.

Each graph is separated into a "core" component and "with staples" component.

I decided to do so because "staples" can often be replaced by lower cost cards.

Something like Loading... or Loading... are staples because you can just replace them for Loading... and Loading... for a start.

But Loading... and Loading... are no staples. Even though many decks use them as a form of staples, the decks showcased here have Zeus as their wincon and need Almiraj for consistency.

You should just use the best staples you can find while opening packs for the core cards and basically only pay attention to the "Deck Core" graph.

Simulating a pulling strategy was a challenge, but after collecting some data, I can say with confidence that the Master Duel economy is only limited by Ultra Rare crafting materials.

To this end, my simulator gives a weight of 10 SRs required from one box equals 1 UR in another box.

This means that even if you need 3 Loading... , 3 Loading... and 3 Loading... from Stalwart Forces, it is still more beneficial for you to pull for the single Loading... in "Miraculous Advent" (Assuming you want these 10 cards).

For cheap decks ( less than 10k gems) the pulling strategy does not make a difference. Just go for what you want.

Information

Thanks to Ffsauta for all of this information. How many gems did your favourite deck cost? Let us know in the comments below!